"I WAS AFRAID THIS WOULD HAPPEN" was the first message screamed to me in all caps re the Dem victory in NY's 26th Congressional open House seat election this past Tuesday. As we all know by now this district is as conservative Republican as they come - it has been many decades since a Dem was last elected to the House there & the Republican winner last November won with 74% of the vote - the special election was required after he was forced to resign because of embarrassing e-mails & photographs. The election reversal was obviously due to the success of the Dems' attack ads on the Republican candidate's support & meager defense of Paul Ryan's Medicare reform plan & the Republican party's total inability to be prepared to address it either reactively or proactively.
With no change in position or strategy Republicans are sitting dead ducks in November 2012 & beyond until all of the welfare-entitlement programs totally collapse.
"What to do?" was the next most popular response received & one of the most thoughtful senior citizen subscribers to ReturnToExcellence.net offers the following identification of the problem: "Doug - How can we get seniors to realize that by rejecting the proposed reforms to SS & Medicare they will lose it all? I rely on my SS check each month but I understand that if nothing is done, it will not be there in 3, 4 or 5 years. The right reform needs to be done to these programs if that is to be avoided. The message must be depoliticized and made clear to seniors so they can stop falling for the scare tactics that are being used in Congress. The message has to be made in clear language that even the least literate person can understand. I know from personal experience that many of them don't have the ability to grasp all the intricacies of government programs. It is not going to be easy to convince them, but it must be done."
Demagogues showing TV advertisements of grandma being pushed off a cliff from her wheelchair by a figure who looks like Paul Ryan vividly shows what Republicans are facing. Too bad too many of the old guard establishment Republicans will run for the hills also making correction of this problem all the more difficult until we only have such a very few defenders of liberty left that they will be too few to stop the country from going over the cliff.
Please make no mistake about it the Ryan Medicare reform plan is too weak - it largely matches ObamaCare's theoretical Medicare cuts (if they really happen) the next ten years before switching to the 'premium support' feature of the Ryan plan for all new enrollees currently younger than 55. For everyone over 55 there is no difference between the amount of money the House Republicans voted to spend on Medicare under the Ryan plan & the amount that the Dems who supported ObamaCare voted to spend in 2010. Source Thomas Savings & John Goodman. The difference in reaction is purely political.
My own analysis of the problem is that all of the entitlement programs are growing faster than CPI inflation & if we could just reign them in to the CPI rate of growth we would solve our problems - this is all you really need to know.
With re to the response of granny gremlin being thrown off a cliff Peter Douglas offers the best answer - "(Republicans)... better be prepared to make arguments that tug @ emotions & use images that are as stark as grandma plunging off a cliff. Show a grandchild growing up & then being denied life-saving medical care in 2031 because the nation is broke. Show a framed dollar bill hanging on a wall in the year 2025 as a relic from America's past, before the dollar collapsed & international lenders demanded a new currency & a strict austerity plan. Show a roomful of Democratic pols smoking Cuban cigars & joking about how easy it is to dupe grandma with simple scaremongering, & how her children & grandchildren will be working much of their lives for the greater good of the state."
For all of our sakes this had better play out as our two brave senior citizens & Peter Douglas present. The stakes are extremely high for our young Republic (& the world whether they know it or not). If we are successful on this front we have a chance to return to excellence & reinstate our glorious Constitution that has been waiting for our return since the 1930s if even not before.