"And when amnesty is granted to the 12 million illegals, as   GOP senators are preparing to do, that should advance the death of the GOP as a   national party by turning Colorado, Nevada and Arizona blue, and putting even Texas in play.
  "Why should the half of America that pays no taxes but   survives on federal benefits vote for a party that will cut taxes they do not   pay but roll back benefits upon which they do depend?
  "They like what Big Government has to offer, and seem   uninterested in what the GOP has to sell." - Pat   Buchanan writing in Human Events - March 26, 2013
  click on graphic to enlarge
The most viable alternative to BO & the Democrats is the   Republican Party & it is dying right before our eyes every day.  Thank   heavens Republicans held on to control the House after the last election but   even @ that there were over half a million more ballots cast for House Democrats   nationwide than House Republicans.  Thanks to our Founders for conceiving   our electoral system.  In 2012 gerrymandering did not hurt   either.
  The obvious problem in America is that not only are people of   substance outnumbered but that the Democrats have figured out under BO's   treacherous talent how to organize people under the Alinsky method into voting   for things that are not in their or the country's best interest.  BO's   Democrat political campaign organization has not been turned off since 2007   & continues today non-stop under Organizing For Action with the   express intent of destroying & erasing the GOP as a national party – see RTE posting of March   5 for complete details re OFA.
  Republicans have awkward positions on the major immediate   problems facing America today summarized as follows:
  1.  Tax Simplification &   Reform – This topic is something Republicans bring up yet half of   the citizenry does not pay income tax & @ least another 20% don't pay enough   income tax that the subject is of any interest to them either.  My former   congressman used to try to reassure town hall audiences by telling them he was   fighting to preserve their home mortgage interest deduction when statistically   two thirds of the audience did not take the deduction & even if they did   they had to overcome the amount of the standard deduction before any itemized   deduction was of value to them.  He thinks this is a winner because he has   been in Congress for eighteen years telling the same yarn to people whose level   of sophistication is believing in home mortgage interest deductions & tax   refunds.
  In any event, if Republicans propose any more than tinkering   around the edges of the current income tax code Democrats will come out in force   with the millionaires & billionaires not paying their fair share class   warfare line that has worked so well against Republicans.  Enacting the   FairTax is the answer to so many of our problems but it is lost on the people   & is of no concern to the great majority of politicians whose life styles   are doing fine without it.
  2.  Homosexual   Marriage – With approval of homosexual marriage growing rapidly so   that already it has over 50% support Republicans have a numbers problem again in   that only 27% of Republicans approve of it.  To combat this former   Republican Party Chairman Ken Mehlman is trying to make a new softer Republican   image by showing support for overturning the California ban of homosexual   marriage.  The political balance is trying to grow the party membership   without losing the base.  What is missing from the Republican strategy is   what is in the best interest of the country like totally eliminating   state-controlled approved marriages.
  3.  Replacing ObamaCare -   Republicans can talk a good talk about repealing & replacing ObamaCare which   we know will not happen in the next four years - but its implementation can be   weakened & slowed.  Ten thousand baby boomers are   retiring every year (that's one every eight seconds turning 65) plus ObamaCare   will bring another 30 million people into the insured ranks.  The   Association of American Medical Colleges predicts there will be a shortage of   over 60,000 doctors by 2015 & 140,000 by 2025.  This provides some hope   for Republicans in that with the right presentation they can turn the tide   against Democrats who continue to support ObamaCare.
  4.  The Sequester – The sequester   remains the only spending cut mechanism in Washington if evidenced only by the   cancellation of the White House tours which everyone is aware of.  BO's   budget released yesterday replaces the sequester with tax increases &   spending cuts that will appear eight to ten years from now – meaning they will   never be realized.  BO continues to make the most onerous cuts he & his   cabinet can think of.  Republicans best chance on this is to point out the   poor choices BO makes & offer alternatives like Senator Coburn has   done.  This issue could turn into a winner for Republicans.
  The above four problems plus gun control provide Republicans @   best a mixed bag to make headway against BO's socialist onslaught designed to   destroy America's well being.  BO has put carbon taxes on the back burner   because he knows that the real killer of the Republican Party is to convince   Congress to pass a comprehensive immigration plan.
  As indicated above by Pat Buchanan   comprehensive immigration is the issue that will be the   death knell for the Republican Party as a national force.  Participating in   the same type of discussions that are over ten years old calling for the tired   old "enforce our borders first...pathways to citizenship...& learn English"   slogans will not carry the day for Republicans no matter how nice their   tone.
  For instance when the Associated Press recently announced that   they will no longer use the term illegal aliens comedian Jay Leno   quickly (& correctly) remarked that it won't be long before these people   will be known as undocumented democrats.  Never mind that the   Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) of 1952 broadly defines an immigrant as   any alien in the United States & a lawful permanent resident as a   resident alien & an illegal alien as one who entered the   United States without inspection.  BO wants the media to keep watering the   terms down until they sound totally innocuous.
  The above graph indicates that Texas had the second largest   percentage of Hispanic voters in 2012 & of course that share will be growing   in future elections.  Since many Hispanics in Texas have never voted   Democrats think of them as a vast community organizing resource project that is   wide open to be developed.  In 2012 I calculate that approximately 3,000   Texas Democrat volunteers worked on Florida voters to vote for BO.  These   volunteers have now returned to Texas to organize the Hispanic vote there &   pilot runs show they are successful.  The high energy San Antonio Mayor   & Democrat Party keynote speaker Julian Castro estimates that Texas will be   competitive in six to eight years.  By 2016 alone there will be   approximately one million more eligible Hispanics to vote.  Some   conservative commentators love to quote the one way U-Haul trucks coming from   California to Texas – unfortunately many such transplants bring their statist   voting habits with them.
  Republicans working on immigration reform don't realize or   ignore that the majority of illegal immigrants have never been interested in   becoming American citizens.  After the 1986 amnesty only 40% of the 2.7   million immigrants who received permanent legal status had become naturalized   citizens by 2009.  Source – DHS study in 2010.  And the reason is   simple – the current pathway to citizenship is not easy.  Just for starters   the immigrant has to pay a $680 application fee & pass an oral exam in   English covering American history & government.  Illegal immigrants who   send a substantial amount of their earnings back to relatives in Latin America   are not interested in paying $680 for something they do not value or studying to   answer questions in English like "how many amendments does the Constitution   have" or "when was the Constitution written?"  
  Republicans need to define the problem accurately &   properly – illegal immigrants want to work here, preferably legally to ensure no   deportation, but citizenship & its requirements are not part of their   plan.  It is ironic that a recent poll showed two thirds of Americans favor   a pathway to citizenship for illegals with jobs but as indicated above a   majority of those in a position to apply don't.  Seems like we would be   better off if everyone just minded their own business.
  In any event BO's community organizing Alinsky machine plows   ahead to convert Texas to the Democrat Party side in the very near   future.
  Does the country need further deterioration before enough   people realize that taking both our freedom & work ethic for granted was a   very big mistake?  So many of our problems started when   the compassionate social safety net turned into breakfast in bed seven days a   week for people who found it easier to game the welfare system than to go to   work.  The country changed as the national incentive changed from thinking   the sky is the limit for your potential to you are a fool if you are not taking   advantage of every government program that your neighbor tells you he has   applied for.
  Jobs are not as important as they were just a decade or so ago   because people have found they can patch together an existence consisting of   part time employment doing menial work, benefits from a government program or   two, & spending down whatever wealth may have been accumulated.  Such   people feel a hopelessness that is contrived by BO's design that can only be   reversed by a Galt-like figure who can re-deliver prosperity & clearly   explain what we are in the process of throwing away.

Hi Doug - Even the non-clairvoyant can predict our future. “The United States of Detroit”
ReplyDeleteDoug - Thanks for well analyzed job assessing political prospects.
ReplyDeletePlease note that there may be some hope as ObamaCare implodes. Then free market capitalists as myself should take full advantage of that. How? Cite again how socialism never works and champion free markets as never before. Get involved! Blog and write letters to Leftist media, strongly support pro free market politicians, even consider running yourself.
Link below details how ObamaCare is imploding.
http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/041113-651603-obama-administration-tries-to-blame-gop-for-obamacare-failures